The poll-of-polls compiled by Novus for Swedish Radio news puts together surveys done since the September 14 election.
Political scientist Mikael Gilljam at Gothenburg University says polls after an election usually show bigger differences compared to the election, as people side with the winners and tactical voters return to the parties they really like.
But in these surveys the governing Social Democrats have fallen a mere two percentage points, while their junior partners, the Greens, have risen by about the same amount.
The former leading government party, the conservative Moderates, have bounced back only slightly from their sharp fall in the election, to poll an average of 24.4 percent.
The governing Social Democrats and Greens, plus their sometime supporters the Left Party, now poll slightly over 44 per cent. This increases slightly their lead over the former governing Alliance coalition, which polls just below 40 percent.
The Sweden Democrats, who the other parties see as too extreme to cooperate with, are steady on 12.7 per cent.
Since neither rival bloc has a majority in parliament it may be tough for the red-green government to get all of its budget through parliament later in November.
And the Sweden Democrats have a kingmaker role. If they decide to vote for the opposition’s budget this would probably bring down the government.
So far all three political groups say they will present their own budget proposals to parliament, the Riksdag.