Jämnt mellan blocken, de rödgröna och Alliansen, i Novus sympatiundersökning Svensk Väljaropinion för november månad 2014. Bild: Novus
Recent polls do not give a good indication of what could happen in a snap election. Image: Novus.

Recent polls no guide to potential outcome of new election

Recent opinion polls give little to no indication of what might happen if a new election were to be held in Sweden, according to polling institute Novus. 

Torbjörn Sjöström of Novus tells news agency TT that “if there is a government crisis then there will be major changes”.

The September elections saw a swing to the center-left parties, but not enough for their new government to hold a majority in parliament. The anti-immigration Sweden Democrats have the balance of power and in vowing to vote for the opposition’s budget seem to have opened the door to a snap election.

Recent polls have all reflected about the same support as the election, with a slight trend away from the government parties. Sjöström thinks the Sweden Democrats have the most to gain from a new election, and that the swing to the red-green parties might reverse if voters think they were unable to stabilize the situation.

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