“The gap between the political blocs is surprisingly wide considering that the current government led by Stefan Löfven was off to a pretty rough start,” political scientist Tommy Möller tells Swedish Radio News.
As examples of the government’s early setbacks, Möller mentions the failure to push through a budget, criticism of its move to recognise the state of Palestine and the way the government subsequently handled that matter.
“Still, the gap between the blocs is widening, which indicates that the Alliance faces a pretty steep climb ahead,” Möller says.
Earlier this week, Göran Hägglund stepped down after 11 years as leader of the Christian Democrat Party. Before announcing his resignation, Hägglund and his party had announced new measures for tackling integration and the party has been at the forefront of political debates recently.
Still, support for the Christian Democrats is now at 3.9 percent, and since Sweden’s election threshold is four percent, that means the party would not enter parliament were an election to be held today.
The figures come from Svensk väljaropinion, a compilation of Sweden’s major opinion polls.
According to Möller, the Christian Democrats have few core voters and the party would not have been represented in parliament at all were it not for votes from other Alliance supporters whose real allegiance is with one of the other three centre-right parties that make up the opposition.
However, all is not lost for the Christian Democrats, according to Möller.
“First, they are about to see a shift in a power as a new party leader gets elected and that brings the possibility of renewal…. Second, the Christian Democrat Party has been a loyal team player within the Alliance and now there is an opportunity for the party to build a profile around migration and integration policies,” says Möller.