S=Social Democrats, V=Left, MP=Greens, M=Conservative Moderates, FP=Liberals, KD=Christian Democrats, C=Center, SD=Sweden Democrats, FI= Feminist Initiative, Graphic: Sveriges Radio
The lack of major change comes despite some political drama over the past month, with the increase in the number of refugees arriving in Sweden and the abandonment of the December Agreement, which allowed a minority government to get its budget through parliament.
Marie Demker, professor of Political Science at Gothenburg University, says this lack of concern about the December Agreement isn’t surprising.
“It’s a typical issue for political insiders,” she tells Swedish Radio News. Voters aren’t likely to wake up in the morning wondering about the fate of the December Agreement. They’re more interested in concrete issues.
Against the background of the concerns over refugees, the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats have dropped in support for the second month in a row, but at 18.3 percent would still be Sweden’s third largest party if an election were held today.
Marie Demker attributes the Sweden Democrats’ fall to the other parties making their differences in refugee and integration issues more obvious.
“How reception should be carried out, opinions on residence permits, border controls, and those sorts of issues,” she says, “show a wider range of opinions.
The ruling red-greens and their Left party allies remain just ahead of the center-right opposition block, 39.5 percent against 39.2 percent. But once again the Christian Democrats remain below the threshold for seats in parliament, so should the current results be reflected in an election, the center-right parliamentary total would be that much less.
The Center Party has the largest increase, up to 7.4 percent. Torbjörn Sjöström of Novus attributes this to the ending of the December Agreement as well as the continued popularity of party leader Annie Lööf.
“This is a situation where the Sweden Democrats are no longer viewed as the only opposition party,” he says. “And it provides an opportunity for the Center Party to step forward.”
BLOCKEN, FÖRÄNDRING 2010-2015. (Klicka på en partiförkortning för att gömma).
PARTIER, FÖRÄNDRING 2010-2015. (Klicka på en partiförkortning för att gömma).
*Övr = FI redovisades ihop med övriga fram till och med maj 2014.